Weather In A Nutshell
Weather In A Nutshell's goal is to cover the weather near the NYC area and New Jersey! I aim to provide short range, medium range and long range weather.
Winter weather enthusiast. Forecasts/snow maps are independent/mine π DM me for a personal forecast!
10/06/2026
Today and tonight we're experiencing our coldest day since...well the Nor'easter, but as far as dry and as chilly we gotta go all the way back to May 3rd.
Though a warm up is on the way, as winds shift. Mid to Upper 70s are possible for Thursday with some scattered showers possible. After that seasonable to above average temperatures will dominate throughout the weekend.
10/05/2026
Weekly Update: Fall is here! And it's glorious! But also with some warmer days still lingering from summer.
Today: Mostly Cloudy with a few scattered downpours for very localized spots. Windy N&W.
NYC: 70F
Bergenfield: 71F
Metuchen: 71F
Tom's River: 69F (nice)
Freehold: 71F
Wildwood: 72F
Philly: 71F
Vineland: 73F
Islip: 70F
Sussex: 68F
Poconos: 62F
Hartford: 70F
Providence: 66F
Baltimore: 75F
Tuesday: Truly the best of the fall like days this week. Completely Sunny and Brisk. Some frost especially N&W in the morning.
NYC: 62F
Bergenfield: 63F
Metuchen: 62F
Tom's River: 62F
Freehold: 63F
Wildwood: 64F
Philly: 63F
Vineland: 63F
Islip: 61F
Sussex: 61F
Poconos: 56F
Hartford: 61F
Providence: 59F
Baltimore: 64F
Wednesday: A few clouds but should be another really dry day. A little warmer but still with a fall feel. Some coastal flooding near the Delaware Bay.
NYC: 67F
Bergenfield: 67F
Metuchen: 68F
Toms River: 69F (nice)
Freehold: 69F (nice)
Wildwood: 69F (nice)
Philly: 68F
Vineland: 69F (nice)
Islip: 65F
Sussex: 66F
Poconos: 64F
Hartford: 67F
Providence: 65F
Baltimore: 70F
Thursday: Another completely Sunny day, warmer again.
NYC: 77F
Bergenfield: 77F
Metuchen: 78F
Toms River: 79F
Freehold: 78F
Wildwood: 79F
Philly: 78F
Vineland: 79F
Islip: 74F
Sussex: 76F
Poconos: 69F (nice)
Hartford: 76F
Providence: 74F
Baltimore: 80F
Friday: Sunny with a few clouds and cooler.
NYC: 70F
Bergenfield: 69F (nice)
Metuchen: 70F
Toms River: 71F
Freehold: 70F
Wildwood: 72F
Philly: 70F
Vineland: 71F
Islip: 69F (nice)
Sussex: 67F
Poconos: 61F
Hartford: 67F
Providence: 68F
Baltimore: 71F
09/08/2026
September looks to be seasonable for this time of year, as we're now currently in our driest month of the year. After a humid tomorrow and Thursday, with a shower chance for Thursday. Mid to Upper 70s with low humidity should dominate through the weekend, as summer slowly eases it's grip.
Some long range finally show chilly weather near the Canadian border up north. Fall is on our doorstep!
08/04/2026
While we may see a scattered storm, or downpour tomorrow and Thursday. Flash flooding will be most prominent for Friday. I think this could occur in the afternoon and evening, and 1-3" inches could fall in localized areas.
Keep a heads up if you're traveling on Friday!
07/21/2026
Today we have a lot of severe weather going on. We already seen reports of some flash flooding and severe warned storms in the Hudson Valley. Similar to Saturday, many locations will see multiple rounds of storms.
Flash Flooding is the biggest concerned as there is a similar amount of moisture today to that of Florida or the Tropics. So some cells may stay in one place and unload a ton of rain. Gusty Winds and a lot of lightning is also a primary concern today.
A weak tornado and some hail cannot be ruled out, but a tornado is hard to get over here and the atmosphere might not have enough dry air in it for hail development.
07/16/2026
Smoke on the water! Fire in the sky!
Is the song I usually think about with today. It's supposed to be Partly Cloudy outside but due to the smoke, it just looks cloudy with a smell of a campfire outside.
The worst of it will be the hours before sunset across New Jersey and overnight tonight.
Friday afternoon our area may receive a small break from the smoke before the smoky cloudiness returns Saturday (even though it'll actually be cloudy without the smoke due to some late morning to afternoon storms moving through.)
Though the last of it will clear out by Saturday night it looks like.
Today though we do have a storm threat across New Jersey. The storm moving from North to South. Wind damage may be a beast, due to the dry air. 50-70 mph gusts possible and power outages shouldn't be ruled out. There will be no shortage of lightning and a few minutes of pea sized hail is possible.
Flash flooding will NOT be a feature because of the fast moving nature of these storms, and the tornado risk is near zero.
07/13/2026
Weekly Update: Drier week, but super hot midweek!
Today: Partly to Mostly Sunny. A summertime thunderstorm with brief gusty winds and some lightning in New England and the Hudson Valley.
NYC: 88F (Feels Like 90F)
Bergenfield: 89F (Feels Like 90F)
Metuchen: 88F
Tom's River: 89F (Feels Like 90F)
Freehold: 84F
Wildwood: 84F
Philly: 88F
Vineland: 88F
Islip: 82F
Sussex: 86F
Poconos: 84F
Hartford: 83F
Providence: 82F
Baltimore: 88F
Tuesday: Won't be a whole ton of clouds around. Much hotter and more humid.
NYC: 94F (Feels like 97F)
Bergenfield: 96F (Feels Like 101F) π₯
Metuchen: 93F (Feels Like 97F)
Tom's River: 92F (Feels Like 97F)
Freehold: 92F (Feels Like 97F)
Wildwood: 90F (Feels Like 93F)
Philly: 92F (Feels Like 97F)
Vineland: 92F (Feels Like 96F)
Islip: 89F (Feels Like 94F)
Sussex: 91F (Feels Like 101F) π₯
Poconos: 89F (Feels Like 95F)
Hartford: 95F (Feels Like 104F) π₯
Providence: 90F (Feels Like 97F)
Baltimore: 94F (Feels Like 95F)
Wednesday: Partly Cloudy, with an evening line of severe thunderstorms for New England sliding from N to S. Gusty winds, hail and lightning possible. Power Outages are even possible.
Triple digit heat will be widespread! Due to the dangerous heat, drink plenty of water and limit outdoor activities!
NYC: 98F (Feels Like 104F) π₯
Bergenfield: 100F (Feels Like 102F) π₯
Metuchen: 99F (Feels Like 105F) π₯π₯
Toms River: 100F (Feels Like 108F) π₯ π₯
Freehold: 101F (Feels Like 107F) π₯ π₯
Wildwood: 100F (Feels Like 114F) π₯ π₯ π₯
Philly: 101F (Feels Like 108F) π₯ π₯
Vineland: 100F (Feels Like 114F) π₯ π₯ π₯
Islip: 89F (Feels Like 94F)
Sussex: 94F (Feels Like 99F)
Poconos: 88F (Feels Like 93F)
Hartford: 91F (Feels Like 96F)
Providence: 90F (Feels Like 98F)
Baltimore: 100F (Feels Like 110F) π₯ π₯ π₯
Thursday: Partly to Mostly Cloudy, with an evening gusty downpour in some coastal areas. Less humid but still very hot.
NYC: 99F
Bergenfield: 97F
Metuchen: 98F (Feels Like 100F) π₯
Toms River: 101F (Feels Like 103F) π₯
Freehold: 99F (Feels Like 101F) π₯
Wildwood: 97F (Feels Like 102F) π₯
Philly: 100F (Feels Like 104F) π₯
Vineland: 101F (Feels Like 105F) π₯π₯
Islip: 99F
Sussex: 94F
Poconos: 89F
Hartford: 91F
Providence: 95F
Baltimore: 98F (Feels Like 106F) π₯π₯
Friday: Outdoor activities...recommended! A morning shower in Del-Marva. Cooler, sunny and humidity free!
NYC: 90F
Bergenfield: 86F
Metuchen: 90F
Toms River: 90F
Freehold: 90F
Wildwood: 93F
Philly: 92F
Vineland: 93F
Islip: 89F
Sussex: 85F
Poconos: 79F
Hartford: 86F
Providence: 84F
Baltimore: 92F
07/06/2026
Weekly Update: Flash flooding today, wet conditions remain for the other days. But the super severe storms and outrageous heat will be at bay. How about a break to the tune of below average highs all week?
Today: Mostly Cloudy with scattered downpours especially in Northern NJ and the Hudson Valley. But south of there could get less numerous downpours. The occasional lightning strike and some gusty winds are possible. Flash flooding is the main concern. 3-5" inches of rain is possible in parts of the Hudson Valley and NWNJ. 0.25-1" possible for everyone else. Soupy air.
NYC: 77F
Bergenfield: 69F (nice)
Metuchen: 80F
Tom's River: 85F (Feels Like 94F)
Freehold: 85F (Feels Like 94F)
Wildwood: 87F (Feels Like 99F)
Philly: 87F (Feels Like 98F)
Vineland: 87F (Feels Like 98F)
Islip: 76F
Sussex: 67F
Poconos: 66F
Hartford: 67F
Providence: 68F
Baltimore: 88F (Feels Like 97F)
Tuesday: Partly to Mostly Cloudy skies. Downpours and Flash Flooding for New England this morning with 2-4" inches of rain possible for a widespread area. Scattered downpours will be around but will be much less numerous with no severe potential. Cooler
NYC: 72F
Bergenfield: 73F
Metuchen: Unavailable
Tom's River: 74F
Freehold: 75F
Wildwood: 79F
Philly: 75F
Vineland: 75F
Islip: 74F
Sussex: 75F
Poconos: 72F
Hartford: 68F
Providence: 69F (nice)
Baltimore: 77F
Wednesday: Other than cloudiness in DelMarva, Mostly Sunny for everyone else. Less unsettled and less humid.
NYC: 83F
Bergenfield: 84F
Metuchen: 84F
Toms River: 85F
Freehold: 85F
Wildwood: 87F
Philly: 84F
Vineland: 86F
Islip: 77F
Sussex: 82F
Poconos: 81F
Hartford: 83F
Providence: 81F
Baltimore: 80F
Thursday: Mostly Cloudy with scattered downpours in the afternoon that may contain flash flooding. Very humid
NYC: 80F
Bergenfield: 77F
Metuchen: 78F
Toms River: 80F
Freehold: 78F
Wildwood: 78F
Philly: 80F
Vineland: 79F
Islip: 76F
Sussex: 76F
Poconos: 72F
Hartford: 77F
Providence: 77F
Baltimore: 80F
Friday: Partly Cloudy with scattered showers and downpours in the afternoon. Severe weather risk looks very low.
NYC: 78F
Bergenfield: 79F
Metuchen: 75F
Toms River: 77F
Freehold: 77F
Wildwood: 86F
Philly: 79F
Vineland: 80F
Islip: 78F
Sussex: 78F
Poconos: 75F
Hartford: 82F
Providence: 84F
Baltimore: 85F
07/03/2026
Nature fireworks tonight? VERY STORMY AND BRUTALLY HOT JULY 4TH WEEKEND!
Thunderstorms have formed in NWPA currently and are expected to move SW into New Jersey this evening near sundown.
Winds are expected to be 50-70 mph for any severe warn storms. Due to our hot surfaces, winds will have to work extra hard to cool us down. Due to the dry layer, very frequent lightning will occur, and the sky will light up like a disco ball the moment the sun goes down.
Small hail is moderate and I don't think we'll get a tornado. But severe downdrafts could still knock out power.
July 4th looks more of the same. With temperatures near 100, and heat indexes near a sweltering 105-110. But for firework shows, and celebrating our countries 250th, evening storms will once again occur. Though the risk is even worse for firework shows...flash flooding since these storms look more saturated, and more instability based. Though frequent lightning and microburst winds are possible with severe storms.
06/30/2026
DANGEROUS HEAT FOR THURSDAY & FRIDAY. HOTTEST DAY OF ALL TIME FOR OUR AREA? COULD BE A TOP 5 AT LEAST...
Just like that song from the 80s. The heat is on. Rivaling one of the hottest days of all time. Thursday and Friday temperatures around New Jersey will be well into the triple digits. While locations may be a few degrees shy of the all time record, Philadelphia's record all time is 106F and a few models has...106F for Friday.
The humidity will make Triple Digit real feels practically everywhere and 110s real feel for Central & Southern Jersey.
If you have any outdoor plans or work to do, reschedule to Monday and beyond. If you do have to work or be outside, buy a water tower...or the biggest water jug the store has.
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