ACLED

Drone strikes are rising in Tigray.

In August, violence between the Ethiopian government and TPLF clustered primarily around two distinct areas of engagement.

ACLED Senior Analyst for East Africa says, "the two areas are border clashes and targeted aerial interdictions, with most drone strikes concentrated in Tigray’s capital, Mekele."

Read the latest expert comment: https://bit.ly/4xzUg3u

has officially accused of plotting an explosive attack on German soil.

As expert for West Europe Joel Crisetig says, “the German government has officially blamed Russia for the failed attack on Ukrainian cargo aircraft at Leipzig/Halle Airport.”

Russian officials condemned the latest accusations, claiming that they were “absurd” and “anti-Russian”, and announced counter-measures.

Find out more: https://bit.ly/3UxBziA

Colombia’s new government’s approach to security marks a sharp departure from the previous administration’s efforts to negotiate with armed groups.

While increased military pressure may disrupt armed groups in the short term, the longer-term outcome will depend on whether the government can address the conditions that continue to sustain armed violence.

Read the full analysis: https://bit.ly/46HT4iE

Criminal groups’ pe*******on of Michoacán’s agricultural industries through extortion and rent extraction has driven violence across key avocado and lime-producing areas.

The conflict has also brought more destructive tactics, including explosive-laden drones and improvised landmines, with recording the highest number of these incidents in .

Heightened security pressure around the avocado industry increases the risks of shifting violence to less-protected municipalities, including in key lime-producing areas such as , where violence surged in June and July.

Explore the spread of this conflict: https://bit.ly/46xtUmR

Anti-Flock protests are surging across the US.

August exceeded the total number of all anti-Flock protests recorded by ACLED, with demonstration events taking place in at least 15 states.

ACLED's North America Research Manager says, “beyond privacy concerns, public anger has been sparked by several documented cases of abuse by officials with access to Flock’s database.”

With the 2026 midterm elections approaching, anti-Flock sentiment could become an increasingly important political issue.

Find out more at https://bit.ly/4xGjMUU

Niger’s latest political crisis comes as the junta struggles to maintain control at home while continuing its fight against armed groups.

The failed mutiny raises broader questions about the resilience of the military-led government and whether internal instability could create openings for jihadist groups to exploit existing security pressures.

Read the full analysis: https://bit.ly/4ckC71d

Peace talks with three armed groups have come to an end under Colombia’s new president, Abelardo de la Espriella, instead offering only two options to members of armed groups: prison or death.

LatinAmerican Post - En uses ACLED data to look at what happened under Gustavo Petro’s peace strategy.

Read the full article here:
https://latinamericanpost.com/americas/colombia-ends-endless-peace-talks-as-armed-groups-keep-growing/

One month into the resumption of hostilities between the Ethiopian government and the TPLF, the trajectory shows a more localized footprint than the devastating, widespread clashes seen between 2020 and 2022.

As ACLED Senior Analyst for East Africa says, while this new round of violence lacks the widespread daily intensity of the previous war, tensions remain a concern.

Read the latest expert comment: https://bit.ly/4xzUg3u

In early August, the temporarily suspended avocado inspections over security concerns, disrupting exports and prompting the deployment of 1,557 federal troops to .

Security operations to protect Mexico’s avocado production in Michoacán are likely to reduce violence in key producing areas, but criminal groups are also expected to adapt, resorting to remote and less overt forms of violence. Growing securitization of the avocado industry is also likely to displace violence in less-protected areas and sectors.

Explore the latest findings: https://bit.ly/46xtUmR