Our Revolution MoCo

Don't miss this exciting and important event with Our Revolution Maryland's Chair Emeritus Bob Muehlenkamp on Zoom! RSVP here - https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=307523004737001&set=a.229469555875680

Don't miss this exciting and important event on Zoom! RSVP here - https://aflcio.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZwrfu2hpzgtE90UF9nF_4kiWUUv1qusLOcP

https://www.mobilize.us/ourrevolution/event/348455/

No Confirmation Before Inauguration Forum with David Sirota and Senator Nina Turner! · Our Revolution On October 18th, we will be hosting a virtual forum with special guests David Sirota, Bernie Sanders Advisor and 2020 Campaign Speechwriter, and Senator Nina Turner, Bernie Sanders Campaign Co-Chair. At the forum we will talk about what is at stake if Amy Coney Barrett is confirmed. We will also dis...

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/montgomery-county-sierra-club-now-endorses-marc-elrich/2018/08/21/8f9e8c24-a54b-11e8-97ce-cc9042272f07_story.html?utm_term=.8a5ed03f0d2a

Montgomery County Sierra Club now endorses Marc Elrich The environmental group said the Democratic nominee for county executive was strong on transportation.

Damn right!

Opinion | Montgomery’s low-yield, razor-thin primary shows it’s time for voting reform In an atomized field, the eventual winner will have a very flimsy mandate.

In 2014, MoCo counted 3,691 absentee ballots in Canvass 1 and 742 absentee ballots in Canvass 2. Thus, precedent suggests that there will be many fewer absentee ballots to be counted next week in Canvass 2 than the 5,028 that were counted this week in Canvass 1. Assuming 2018 looks like 2014, Marc could well retain the lead after the absentee ballots are counted.

There are also provisional ballots outstanding. In 2014, there were 1,524 provisional ballots that were counted. We'll likely see a similar number this year since the Board of Elections announced that 3,616 provisional ballots were issued. Many of course will be rejected. So who should be optimistic about those 1,500 or more provisional votes?

Sadly, if history is any guide, David Blair. In 2014, the most progressive candidate for County Executive by far was Phil Andrews. He finished third behind Ike Leggett with 22.26% of the vote. But Phil only got 18.04% of the counted provisional votes. Marc won a plurality of votes in the County Council-at-large race in 2014 with 21.17% of the votes. He very slightly underperformed among provisional votes with 20.99% of the vote.

The bottom line is that this remains, as Ed suggested, an incredibly tight race that either candidate could win.

That said, I wouldn't be surprised if Jeff Bezos, Fred Hiatt, Ryan Miner, and David Blair are toasting each other at this very moment.

Here are some (maybe not all) of the links on which I relied for this analysis:

www.montgomerycountymd.gov/Elections/Resources/Files/htm/2014/primaryelection/results/electionresults.htm

www.montgomerycountymd.gov/Elections/Resources/Files/htm/2014/primaryelection/results/provisional.htm

www.montgomerycountymd.gov/Elections/Resources/Files/htm/2014/primaryelection/results/ABSENTEE2.htm

www.montgomerycountymd.gov/Elections/Resources/Files/htm/2018/primaryelection/results/ABS1%20Unofficial%20results.HTM

GEMS ELECTION RESULTS

Tuesday was an exciting night for progressives in Maryland and around the country. We had great wins - Ben Jealous! Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez (in NY)!! We defeated three Mike Miller backed State Senators. In the delegate races, we're seeing likely wins by great first-time candidates Samir Paul, Vaughn Stewart, and Gabriel Acevero. And . . . Marc Elrich leads the WaPo-backed pharmaceutical millionaire.

There's lots more to be done of course. Our incredible MoCo County Council endorsees will fight another day and Trone's total trunk of cash proved a hill too high to scale this go-round. But we're definitely speeding along in the right (or should I say left) direction.

On to November!

Seventh State Maryland Politics Watch