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10/02/2024
Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei announces "victory is close" and posts an image of a large underground missile stockpile.
The country’s president, Pezeshkian, also posted on X, announcing that "a decisive response has been made" to "Zionist aggression."
Meanwhile, the IDF stated that Israel “will choose when to exact the price” in response to Tehran's aerial attack on Tuesday.
10/02/2024
Silver ( ) set to advance on risk aversion, resistance is at $31.85
Silver (XAG/USD) reversal from last week highs might have found a bottom at $31.00. A potential double bottom at that level supports that view. Below here, the next target is $30.35.
The risk averse sentiment on Middle East tensions is expected to provide support t precious metlas. I expect Silver to advance towards $31.85 today ahead of $32.65.
10/02/2024
CAD/JPY likely to appreciate further amid higher Oil prices
Iran’s attack on Israel rattled markets on Tuesday and investors are holding their breath, awaiting Istael’s response. Crude Oil, Canadian main export has surged $5 and is not expected to retreat until the situation in the Middle East relaxes.
Geopolitical tensions are attracting attention relegating with macroeconomics taking the back seat. The weak Canadian CPI figures seen on Tuesday have had a muted impact on the loonie, which remains underpinned by Oil’s rally.
On the side, the initial positive impact of Ishiba's appointment as Prime Minister has faded gradually after he acknowledged that the monetary policy should remain accommodative for some time in order to support the fragile economic recovery.
In this context, I expect the pair to maintain the bullish trend from Monday's low unchanged, with bulls in control aiming for the 107.50-70 area ahead of the late September high, at 108.45. Supports are 106.40 and 105.85.
Hezbollah: In response to the call of “At Your Service, Nasrallah,” the Islamic Resistance launched a salvo of “Fadi 4” missiles at the Sde Dov Air Base on the outskirts of Tel Aviv.
Dovish signals from the Bank of England and a strong US jobs report risk reducing GBPUSD to the lower border of the trading channel of 1.26-1.28. Let us discuss the Forex outlook and make up a trading plan.
Weekly Pound fundamental forecast
The British pound continues to resist the strong US dollar, but the bulls are weakening. Recently, Jerome Powell reduced the chances of the Fed starting monetary expansion in March, and a rumor spread in the market that one of the MPC members will vote on February 1 to reduce the interest rate.
10/16/2023
Hamas – Israel War
Over the weekend, it seems that the situation in the affected region has calmed slightly, whereas the tension remains extremely high. Israel has created a four-kilometre-wide corridor and secured it with tanks to the border to Lebanon to prevent potential Hezbollah attacks. Meanwhile, soldiers had advanced into the Northern part of the Gaza Strip to potentially find the hostages, which had been captured last week. Also, US President Biden may visit Israel after Secretary of State Antony Blinken had previously met Arab leaders to discuss humanitarian support for the population in Gaza.
09/22/2023
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Correlations
09/20/2023
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09/19/2023
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09/16/2023
US stocks ended down on Friday, September 16, 2023, as investors worried about inflationary pressures and the auto workers strike. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.8%, the S&P 500 dropped 1.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 1.6%.
Inflation worries remain the biggest concern for investors, as the Federal Reserve is expected to continue raising interest rates in an effort to cool the economy and bring down prices. The auto workers strike also added to concerns, as it could disrupt production and drive up car prices.
Despite the down day, some sectors performed well. For example, shares of General Motors, Ford Motor, and Stellantis all rose, even though the auto workers strike at those companies began early Friday.
Overall, the stock market is in a sideways mode, with investors largely on the sidelines as they await more clarity on inflation and the Fed's plans.
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