WeatherCast Central

***WINTER WEATHER ALERT***

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Significant snow is starting to appear likely across the Great Lakes and Northeast region.

A shortwave trough will eject from the northwestern United States tonight bringing widespread precipitation into the forecast area later tomorrow morning.

As we move into Sunday, an additional, stronger through will start to develop and bring heavier totals with a deepening area of low pressure.

Thanks to the fact that we will be dealing with two separate systems, some locations could end up seeing around 30 hours of continuous snowfall. Any organized bands of snow that develop could drop significant amounts.

Current models are suggesting snowfall totals of up to 14 inches possible from northern Iowa into Michigan.

While these remain a little on the high side compared to model averages, these amounts are not something that can be ruled out due to the duration of the storm.

However, I expect the averages in the to remain around 10 inches across the lower Great Lakes region. Locally higher totals of 15" cannot be ruled out.

All of the dark red outlines are in higher elevations. Cooler temperatures are likely which will contribute to better precipitation to snow ratios. For this reason, 15 inches or more appears possible.

In extreme southeastern New York into Maine, totals of 14+ are possible, especially in mountainous areas.

Elsewhere, from the Upper Plains into New England, snow amounts will range from 1-9 inches.

Further south, scattered rain showers are possible. Organized rain is likely in Tennessee into extreme southern New England. A few instances of lightning cannot be ruled out.

We’re also looking at mixed precipitation near the rain/snow line. Make sure to use caution while driving if any ice starts to develop.

***Forecast notes…***

•There is an area of uncertainty in central Ohio and Pennsylvania; chances still exist for snow totals to exceed the current forecast

•Model guidance becomes more questionable as the snow moves into the Northeast; track changes and storm strength are very possible

•Extreme southern areas of the pink and purple outline can still shift either north or west, but nothing major is anticipated

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I understand that the map is small. It’s difficult to make something readable when trying to cover half of the US!

If you need me to enlarge a portion of the map, then feel free to leave a comment below with your city. :)

A weak upper-level divergence is currently pushing into the Great Lakes with moderate strengthening likely. This, combined with dropping temperatures, will enable the region to see its first widespread of the season.

Click the image below to read more!

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A strong line of thunderstorms is making its way into Indiana. As of now, the storms have struggled to reach severe limits due to a lack of instability.

There may still be just enough shear to allow for a brief isolated, weak tornado risk with strong wind gusts, but the risk remains low.

There exists a threat for isolated severe weather from eastern Indiana into northern Louisiana and northeastern Texas.

A vigorous upper level trough will push through the region with mid level winds hovering around 65-70 kts+ plus. This, combined with a sharp cold front, will enable the possibility for a line of organized thunderstorms to develop.

At the moment, there still remains a few questions regarding severe potential. Tomorrow’s atmospheric winds will be sufficient for strong wind gusts, but we will be lacking in instability.

Models are suggesting CAPE around 250 j/kg in spots. While low, the strong shear could be just enough to get sustained updrafts with supercell structures. If this does occur, then the threats listen below may play out.

Severe Threats Later Today…

•An isolated tornado or two
•Damaging wind gusts
•Non-severe hail

The image also depicts the future radar for 3 PM CDT. It won’t be completely accurate, but it does paint a great picture of what to expect.

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An updated snowfall forecast has been released. Click the image below to read more!

Snowfall Forecast Update Current model trends have brought the forecasted low-pressure system further south than previously expected. For this reason, some big adjustments have been made. It now appears that a foot of snow…

The season’s first major snow storm will start to materialize across the Upper Great Plains beginning tomorrow. Snowfall amounts of a foot with gusty winds are possible.

Click link to read more -
https://weathercastcentral.com/seasons-first-winter-storm-threatens-upper-great-plains/

Season’s First Winter Storm Threatens Upper Great Plains The season’s first major snow storm will start to materialize across the Upper Great Plains beginning tomorrow. Snowfall amounts of a foot with gusty winds are possible. Discussion: A low pre…

Winter weather is finally going to make an appearance later this week!

A strong low pressure system is forecasted to push through the upper great plains and midwest. This storm will bring heavy snow, thunderstorms, and scattered rain showers.

Click below for full details -
https://weathercastcentral.com/pattern-change-incoming-rare-november-thunderstorms-and-snow-likely/

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Enjoying the unseasonable warmth? This doesn't appear to change for at least another week or two!

In today's post we discuss the warmth and thunderstorm potential that will develop across the Midwest and Northeast.

Very few locations are under a threat for severe weather, but we could see heavy rain and numerous lightning strikes in spots.

Click Link Below for Full Details -
https://weathercastcentral.com/taking-a-look-at-thunderstorm-potential-and-rare-november-warmth/

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How much snow will you receive? Click the link below to find out -
https://weathercastcentral.com/widespread-snowfall-accumulation-anticipated/

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Are you ready for snow?

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Read more -
https://weathercastcentral.com/heavy-snowfall-possible-for-new-york-and-new-england/

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