Strats Labs

📈 $AAOI IV skew is loud and clear.

The market is paying up for upside calls.

🔹 Jun 18 call IV jumps from ~165% to nearly 178% above $200 strikes
🔹 July and September stay relatively flat around 148–155%
🔹 Front-month calls are meaningfully richer than longer-dated maturities

What it suggests:

✅ Traders want upside exposure now
✅ Speculative momentum is still in play
✅ The priciest premium is in short-dated OTM calls

Potential structures:

• Covered calls
• PMCCs
• Call ratio spreads
• Jade lizards
• Cash-secured puts (for assignment-focused investors)

When skew gets this steep, the edge often isn’t chasing the move.

It’s selling the expensive upside.

What’s your play:
A) buy the $200 calls
B) sell the $200 calls

Drop your take 👇

Oracle earnings are out!

$194 in after-hours; well within the expected move.

Our short puts are set to expire worthless by Friday for 100% profit.

Fantastic trade! 🔥

I spend a lot of time researching markets and developing high-probability ideas.

Comment yes/no if you want to see more...👇

$MSFT

Most traders check IV.

Few check where the IV sits.

That's the edge.

MSFT volatility skew right now:

• OTM puts carrying higher IV than ATM
• Aug/Sep (earnings months) priced richer than non-earnings expirations
• Skew forms a smile; demand for both downside protection and upside

Market is paying up for downside insurance.

If you sell options, the expensive put premium creates opportunities:

- Cash-Secured Puts
- Bull Put Spreads
- Wheel Strategy

You're selling the richest part of the surface.

Aug options include the July 28 earnings.

Aug IV > Jul IV

Diagonals (long Aug calls, short Jul calls) are popular here.

But you're not buying cheap IV and selling expensive IV.

You're buying earnings vol because you want the catalyst exposure.

Different trade.

Chart setup:

• 200-week MA support
• Bullish momentum divergence
• Trendline breakout forming
• Earnings catalyst ahead

For bullish setups:

- Bull Put Spreads
- Bull Call Spreads
- Call Diagonals

Better risk-adjusted exposure than naked long calls.

The volatility surface shows you where the market fears risk.

That's where edge lives.

$FCEL

Sold ITM puts for Oct expiry. Massive credit upfront.

$6500 for 10 contracts. 💵

Cost basis: $12.5 per share.

Expecting this to run as the AI energy story gains traction into Q3.

The bottleneck for AI isn't compute. It's energy. $FCEL positions itself alongside $BE to solve the power constraint.

May not match $BE's growth, but $FCEL has room to capture a larger slice by Q4 2026.

Price target: north of $30 by Q4 2026.

Only real risk: global sell-off if the Iran situation escalates with no truce in sight.

Otherwise, solid opportunity for long exposure in a high-reward small cap.

We're holding long-term. Plan to keep rolling profits by selling ITM puts as the stock climbs and maximize the premium harvested per delta.

Not financial advice.

Free Trade Idea: $ORCL

Sold puts ahead of tomorrow's earnings to capture elevated IV.

Premium collected: $225 💵

I want to capture IV crush due to the post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) upside.

If assigned, happy to own shares at this level.

Not financial advice.

Sold a cash-secured put on $AAOI (exp. 06/18)

Premium collected: $505

With implied volatility at 183%, the credit was too good to ignore.

Not financial advice.

$FCEL

Everyone's fixating on the Q2 loss. Missing the real story.

FuelCell just positioned itself at the center of AI's energy bottleneck.

The numbers look ugly on the surface:
- Net loss widened to $77.6M (vs $37.7M prior)
- Revenue missed by 12% at $35.6M
- Backlog down 9.9% to $1.14B
- Loss per share: $1.45 vs $0.52 expected

Groton project writedown hit hard; equipment replacement and repairs on older units.

So why did the stock rally 1.7% and bounce clean off 50DMA support?

Wall Street's looking at what matters:

Sales pipeline surged 267% sequentially to 4 GW. Nearly 80% of that pipeline is AI and data center demand.

The company makes 12.5-MW power blocks that deploy on-site at data centers; developers bypass the grid entirely. That's the solution to AI's power crunch.

Capex coming: expanding Torrington plant capacity from 350 MW to 500 MW for $200M–$275M.

ExxonMobil partnership extended through Dec 2026. First two carbon capture modules shipped to the Netherlands this week.

CEO Jason Few called it "disciplined operational ex*****on" despite the red ink. Translation: the infrastructure play is accelerating while near-term earnings lag.

Our position:

As the post-earnings-announcement-drift (PEAD) starts manifesting, we sold cash-secured puts expiring Friday to capture elevated IV and small-cap volatility. This makes a good premium opportunity.

Planning to add long exposure via call LEAPS once IV normalizes.

$FCEL could be the next $BE if this pipeline converts.

Not financial advice

Amid the market turmoil on Friday, OSCR was one stock that showed strength.

That tells you where the sectoral pressure is, and where it isn’t.

Once liquidity rotation happens, the bull thesis written below should be activated.

Technicals:
- bull flag breakout
- bullish divergence: MACD + RSI, with a trendline break
- solid volume
- setting up to break out of a long weekly consolidation range

Overall, the setup leans bullish with potential upside.

I’m in July bull call spreads.

Not financial advice.

Wheel Tracker Weekly Update

Net P/L: -$82

Closed:
- $PLTR +$72 ✅
- $ASTS +$1,061 ✅
- $NBIS +$530 ✅
- $PANW +$228 ✅
- $ASTS -$1,973 (rolled to July)

Opened:
- $ASTS — $5,390 💵 credit
- $IREN — $568 💵 credit

Targeting a close in profit by the end of June.