Forisk Consulting

Forisk Consulting

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Forisk helps the forest industry make better decisions. We discover how things work through conducti

Founded in 2004, Forisk conducts applied research to support the consulting and educational services we provide to senior management and investors in the forest industry, wood bioenergy and timberland investing sectors. Forisk specializes in analyzing drivers of supply and demand in local wood and timber markets and, from this analysis, developing forecasts and strategies related to capital investment decisions, forest operations and timberland investment vehicles.

06/16/2026

๐™๐™ค๐™ง๐™ž๐™จ๐™ '๐™จ ๐™’๐™ค๐™ค๐™™ ๐™๐™ž๐™—๐™š๐™ง ๐™๐™š๐™ซ๐™ž๐™š๐™ฌ ๐™๐™ž๐™œ๐™๐™ก๐™ž๐™œ๐™๐™ฉ๐™จ ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™ช๐™š๐™™ ๐™จ๐™ค๐™›๐™ฉ๐™ฃ๐™š๐™จ๐™จ ๐™ž๐™ฃ ๐™‰๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™ ๐˜ผ๐™ข๐™š๐™ง๐™ž๐™˜๐™–๐™ฃ ๐™›๐™ž๐™—๐™š๐™ง ๐™ข๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ๐™จ ๐™™๐™ช๐™ง๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐—ค๐Ÿฎ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ

U.S. weighted average roundwood and chip prices fell 3% from the previous quarter and 11% year-over-year, driven by ample fiber supply, mill closures, and weaker demand in several regions. In Canada, prices increased 3% for the quarter and remained slightly above year-ago levels.

The report also examines the impacts of rising fuel costs, wildfire-driven fiber supply shifts in the U.S. South, slowing chip imports into British Columbia, and broader geopolitical uncertainty affecting wood fiber markets across North America.

Read the full release here:

forisk.com

Planting Density and Pulpwood Supply - Forisk 06/12/2026

๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ ๐—•๐—น๐—ผ๐—ด: ๐—ฃ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฃ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฝ๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ ๐—ฆ๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—น๐˜†

Forisk's latest blog from Shawn Baker examines how planting density trends in the U.S. South could affect future pulpwood supply. Data from Forisk's southern silvculture surveys shows landowners planted 90 fewer treeds per acre in 2025 than our intial 2012 survey. These surveys provide a leading indicator that stem counts on thinning-age stands will likely be declining for another decade (at least!).

Read the full post here:

Planting Density and Pulpwood Supply - Forisk Poor pulpwood markets are causing landowners to lower planting density. We document this trend over the last twenty years.

Learning from History to Invest in Timberlands and the Forest Industry - Forisk 06/09/2026

๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐˜‚๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€?

The forest industry has experienced significant changes over the past several decades, but many of the key drivers of successful timberland investments remain the same. Understanding past market cycles, ownership shifts, and industry trends can help investors and decision-makers better navigate future opportunities and risks.

In this latest Forisk blog, Brooks Mendell explores why historical perspective remains a valuable tool for timberland and forest industry investors.

Read more:

Learning from History to Invest in Timberlands and the Forest Industry - Forisk Forecasting requires arbitrary choices. We can learn from history and backtesting to avoid "dumb" ideas and invest in better timber markets.

06/05/2026

๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฑ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ป๐˜€?

For decades, investors have pointed to biological growth, timber prices, and land appreciation as the key drivers of timberland performance. But how has the relative importance of those factors changed over the past 30 years?

In this latest Forisk blog, we examine timberland returns from 1995โ€“2025 and compare the drivers behind performance across different market environments. The analysis highlights how shifts in timber markets, land values, and biological growth have influenced returnsโ€”and what that may mean for investors going forward.

Read the full blog here:

forisk.com

06/02/2026

๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ: ๐—ง๐—ผ๐—ฝ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ต ๐—”๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ข๐—ฆ๐—• ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฑ๐—ฒ #๐Ÿญ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—™๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ #๐Ÿฎ ๐—Ÿ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฎ-๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฐ

Foriskโ€™s latest analysis of the OSB sector highlights the top producers shaping the North American market in 2025.

Key takeaways:
โ€ข Nine companies encompass the entire North American OSB sector
โ€ข U.S. producers account for 64% of total North American production
โ€ข West Fraser remains the largest OSB producer in both the U.S. and North America

The rankings are based on data from Foriskโ€™s ๐˜•๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜Š๐˜ข๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ ๐˜‹๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฆ, which tracks over 2,350 wood-using facilities across North America.

Read the full release here:

forisk.com

Top 2025 OSB Producers in North America - Forisk 05/22/2026

๐—ง๐—ผ๐—ฝ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ ๐—ข๐—ฆ๐—• ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ก๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ต ๐—”๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ ๐Ÿชต

Foriskโ€™s latest analysis of the OSB sector highlights the top producers shaping the North American market in 2025.

Key takeaways:
โ€ข Nine companies encompass the entire North American OSB sector
โ€ข U.S. producers account for 64% of total North American production
โ€ข West Fraser remains the largest OSB producer in both the U.S. and North America

The rankings are based on data from Foriskโ€™s ๐˜•๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜Š๐˜ข๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ ๐˜‹๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฆ, which tracks over 2,350 wood-using facilities across North America.

Read more here:

Top 2025 OSB Producers in North America - Forisk Nine North American companies encompass the entire OSB sector, manufacturing 26.5 BSF (3/8โ€) in 2025. Seven OSB firms operate in the United States.

05/21/2026

The 2026 Q2 edition of the ๐™๐™ค๐™ง๐™ž๐™จ๐™  ๐™‰๐™š๐™ฌ๐™จ is hot off the press! This quarter's edition features:

โ€ข Select findings from the Q2 FRQ
โ€ข Featured research in the Q2 FRQ
โ€ข Research highlighted on Forisk's Blog
โ€ข Upcoming events
โ€ข Forisk in the News

Read the full newsletter here:

forisk.com

U.S. Housing Starts Outlook, Q2 2026 Update - Forisk 05/14/2026

๐—จ.๐—ฆ. ๐—›๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ข๐˜‚๐˜๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ: ๐—ค๐Ÿฎ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ

Forisk published the Q2 edition of the ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฌ ๐˜™๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ ๐˜˜๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜บ today, which includes our updated U.S. housing starts outlook. Foriskโ€™s latest outlook points to continued near-term pressure on U.S. housing activity as elevated mortgage rates and economic uncertainty weigh on new construction. Forisk projects a slight decline (1.5%) in housing starts in 2026 followed by a recovery to 1.37 million units in 2027.

Read the full update from Shawn Baker here:

U.S. Housing Starts Outlook, Q2 2026 Update - Forisk Forisk's Q2 2026 Housing Outlook anticipates little housing growth through 2027 and reviews Q1 housing activity relative to year-end actuals.

Impacts of the Washington State Np Rule on Harvestable Timber - Forisk 05/05/2026

๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜๐—ผ๐—ปโ€™๐˜€ ๐—ง๐˜†๐—ฝ๐—ฒ ๐—ก๐—ฝ ๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—น๐˜†? ๐ŸŒฒ

Foriskโ€™s latest blog post from Amanda Lang examines how expanded buffers on non-fish-bearing streams could reduce the harvestable timber base in Washington.

The findings point to meaningful impacts on available timber supply, with implications for landowners, mills, and regional wood fiber markets.

๐Ÿ”— Read more:

Impacts of the Washington State Np Rule on Harvestable Timber - Forisk An economic assessment performed by the University of Washington found that impacts from the Np rule ranged from a 1% loss to 12% loss in harvestable volume in counties in western Washington.

Declining Lumber Capacity in Western Canada Supports Continued Forest Industry Capital Investments in the U.S. Pacific Northwest - Forisk 04/30/2026

๐—Ÿ๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ดโ€”๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด.

A new Forisk analysis from Brooks Mendell highlights a continued decline in lumber capacity across Western Canadaโ€”driven by factors like fiber constraints, policy pressures, and mill closures.

At the same time, investment momentum remains strong in the U.S. Pacific Northwest, where operators are positioning to capture supply gaps and evolving market demand.

Key takeaway: As Canadian capacity contracts, capital is reallocating southโ€”reinforcing the Pacific Northwestโ€™s role in North American lumber markets.

These regional shifts matter for timber supply, pricing, and long-term investment strategy.

Read more:

Declining Lumber Capacity in Western Canada Supports Continued Forest Industry Capital Investments in the U.S. Pacific Northwest - Forisk Changes in Western Canada's forest industry supported capital investments into mills and timberlands in the U.S. Pacific Northwest.

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