Forisk Consulting
Forisk helps the forest industry make better decisions. We discover how things work through conducti
Founded in 2004, Forisk conducts applied research to support the consulting and educational services we provide to senior management and investors in the forest industry, wood bioenergy and timberland investing sectors. Forisk specializes in analyzing drivers of supply and demand in local wood and timber markets and, from this analysis, developing forecasts and strategies related to capital investment decisions, forest operations and timberland investment vehicles.
๐๐ค๐ง๐๐จ๐ '๐จ ๐๐ค๐ค๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ง ๐๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐๐ก๐๐๐๐ฉ๐จ ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐ฉ๐๐ฃ๐ช๐๐ ๐จ๐ค๐๐ฉ๐ฃ๐๐จ๐จ ๐๐ฃ ๐๐ค๐ง๐ฉ๐ ๐ผ๐ข๐๐ง๐๐๐๐ฃ ๐๐๐๐๐ง ๐ข๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ฉ๐จ ๐๐ช๐ง๐๐ฃ๐ ๐ค๐ฎ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฒ
U.S. weighted average roundwood and chip prices fell 3% from the previous quarter and 11% year-over-year, driven by ample fiber supply, mill closures, and weaker demand in several regions. In Canada, prices increased 3% for the quarter and remained slightly above year-ago levels.
The report also examines the impacts of rising fuel costs, wildfire-driven fiber supply shifts in the U.S. South, slowing chip imports into British Columbia, and broader geopolitical uncertainty affecting wood fiber markets across North America.
Read the full release here:
06/12/2026
๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ธ ๐๐น๐ผ๐ด: ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ถ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฃ๐๐น๐ฝ๐๐ผ๐ผ๐ฑ ๐ฆ๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐น๐
Forisk's latest blog from Shawn Baker examines how planting density trends in the U.S. South could affect future pulpwood supply. Data from Forisk's southern silvculture surveys shows landowners planted 90 fewer treeds per acre in 2025 than our intial 2012 survey. These surveys provide a leading indicator that stem counts on thinning-age stands will likely be declining for another decade (at least!).
Read the full post here:
Planting Density and Pulpwood Supply - Forisk Poor pulpwood markets are causing landowners to lower planting density. We document this trend over the last twenty years.
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ต๐ถ๐๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ผ๐๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐?
The forest industry has experienced significant changes over the past several decades, but many of the key drivers of successful timberland investments remain the same. Understanding past market cycles, ownership shifts, and industry trends can help investors and decision-makers better navigate future opportunities and risks.
In this latest Forisk blog, Brooks Mendell explores why historical perspective remains a valuable tool for timberland and forest industry investors.
Read more:
Learning from History to Invest in Timberlands and the Forest Industry - Forisk Forecasting requires arbitrary choices. We can learn from history and backtesting to avoid "dumb" ideas and invest in better timber markets.
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฑ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฟ๐ป๐?
For decades, investors have pointed to biological growth, timber prices, and land appreciation as the key drivers of timberland performance. But how has the relative importance of those factors changed over the past 30 years?
In this latest Forisk blog, we examine timberland returns from 1995โ2025 and compare the drivers behind performance across different market environments. The analysis highlights how shifts in timber markets, land values, and biological growth have influenced returnsโand what that may mean for investors going forward.
Read the full blog here:
๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ธ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ: ๐ง๐ผ๐ฝ ๐ก๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ต ๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ข๐ฆ๐ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐๐ป๐ฐ๐น๐๐ฑ๐ฒ #๐ญ ๐ช๐ฒ๐๐ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ #๐ฎ ๐๐ผ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฎ-๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฐ
Foriskโs latest analysis of the OSB sector highlights the top producers shaping the North American market in 2025.
Key takeaways:
โข Nine companies encompass the entire North American OSB sector
โข U.S. producers account for 64% of total North American production
โข West Fraser remains the largest OSB producer in both the U.S. and North America
The rankings are based on data from Foriskโs ๐๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ฉ ๐๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ข๐ฏ ๐๐ช๐ญ๐ญ ๐๐ข๐ฑ๐ข๐ค๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐๐ข๐ต๐ข๐ฃ๐ข๐ด๐ฆ, which tracks over 2,350 wood-using facilities across North America.
Read the full release here:
05/22/2026
๐ง๐ผ๐ฝ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ก๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ต ๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ ๐ชต
Foriskโs latest analysis of the OSB sector highlights the top producers shaping the North American market in 2025.
Key takeaways:
โข Nine companies encompass the entire North American OSB sector
โข U.S. producers account for 64% of total North American production
โข West Fraser remains the largest OSB producer in both the U.S. and North America
The rankings are based on data from Foriskโs ๐๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ฉ ๐๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ข๐ฏ ๐๐ช๐ญ๐ญ ๐๐ข๐ฑ๐ข๐ค๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐๐ข๐ต๐ข๐ฃ๐ข๐ด๐ฆ, which tracks over 2,350 wood-using facilities across North America.
Read more here:
Top 2025 OSB Producers in North America - Forisk Nine North American companies encompass the entire OSB sector, manufacturing 26.5 BSF (3/8โ) in 2025. Seven OSB firms operate in the United States.
The 2026 Q2 edition of the ๐๐ค๐ง๐๐จ๐ ๐๐๐ฌ๐จ is hot off the press! This quarter's edition features:
โข Select findings from the Q2 FRQ
โข Featured research in the Q2 FRQ
โข Research highlighted on Forisk's Blog
โข Upcoming events
โข Forisk in the News
Read the full newsletter here:
05/14/2026
๐จ.๐ฆ. ๐๐ผ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฆ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐๐ ๐ข๐๐๐น๐ผ๐ผ๐ธ: ๐ค๐ฎ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ฝ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ
Forisk published the Q2 edition of the ๐๐ฐ๐ณ๐ช๐ด๐ฌ ๐๐ฆ๐ด๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ๐ค๐ฉ ๐๐ถ๐ข๐ณ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ญ๐บ today, which includes our updated U.S. housing starts outlook. Foriskโs latest outlook points to continued near-term pressure on U.S. housing activity as elevated mortgage rates and economic uncertainty weigh on new construction. Forisk projects a slight decline (1.5%) in housing starts in 2026 followed by a recovery to 1.37 million units in 2027.
Read the full update from Shawn Baker here:
U.S. Housing Starts Outlook, Q2 2026 Update - Forisk Forisk's Q2 2026 Housing Outlook anticipates little housing growth through 2027 and reviews Q1 housing activity relative to year-end actuals.
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฑ๐ผ๐ฒ๐ ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐๐ผ๐ปโ๐ ๐ง๐๐ฝ๐ฒ ๐ก๐ฝ ๐ฟ๐๐น๐ฒ ๐บ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐น๐? ๐ฒ
Foriskโs latest blog post from Amanda Lang examines how expanded buffers on non-fish-bearing streams could reduce the harvestable timber base in Washington.
The findings point to meaningful impacts on available timber supply, with implications for landowners, mills, and regional wood fiber markets.
๐ Read more:
Impacts of the Washington State Np Rule on Harvestable Timber - Forisk An economic assessment performed by the University of Washington found that impacts from the Np rule ranged from a 1% loss to 12% loss in harvestable volume in counties in western Washington.
๐๐๐บ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ถ๐๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ณ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ดโ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ถ๐๐ฎ๐น ๐ถ๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐น๐น๐ผ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด.
A new Forisk analysis from Brooks Mendell highlights a continued decline in lumber capacity across Western Canadaโdriven by factors like fiber constraints, policy pressures, and mill closures.
At the same time, investment momentum remains strong in the U.S. Pacific Northwest, where operators are positioning to capture supply gaps and evolving market demand.
Key takeaway: As Canadian capacity contracts, capital is reallocating southโreinforcing the Pacific Northwestโs role in North American lumber markets.
These regional shifts matter for timber supply, pricing, and long-term investment strategy.
Read more:
Declining Lumber Capacity in Western Canada Supports Continued Forest Industry Capital Investments in the U.S. Pacific Northwest - Forisk Changes in Western Canada's forest industry supported capital investments into mills and timberlands in the U.S. Pacific Northwest.
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