IDLCC - Climate Change Group

The Dynamics of Patient Visits to a Public Hospital... : Pediatric Emergency Care ld a robust forecasting model. Methods An 8-year administrative data set (2010–2017) of the daily number of admissions to the PED of a public hospital in Lisbon, Portugal, was used (n = 670,379). A time-series model of the daily number of visits was built, including temporal periodicities, the Por...

(🇬🇧 below)
A propósito da 5ª sessão da Assembleia para o Ambiente das Nações Unidas , que decorreu esta semana em Nairobi, um novo relatório UN Environment Programme / GRID-Arendal prevê um aumento de 50% no número de incêndios até 2100 e apela aos governos que alterem radicalmente os investimentos em fogos para a implementação de medidas de preparação.

🇵🇹 https://bit.ly/UNEP_rel

O relatório “Propagando-se Como o Fogo: A Ameaça Crescente dos Incêndios Florestais Extraordinários” contou com as contribuições das investigadoras Patrícia Silva e Renata Libonati IDLCC - Climate Change Group & Instituto de Geociências - UFRJ. A celebrou ainda os 50 anos do UN Environment Programme.


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In the frame of the 5th session of the United Nations Environment Assembly , that took place this week in Nairobi, a new report UN Environment Programme / GRID-Arendal projects a 50% rise in the number of wildfires by 2100 and calls on governments to radically shift their investments in wildfires to focus on prevention and preparedness.

🇬🇧 https://bit.ly/UNEP_rep

The report “Spreading like Wildfire: The Rising Threat of Extraordinary Landscape Fires” had contributions from researchers Patrícia Silva and Renata Libonati of IDLCC - Climate Change Group & Instituto de Geociências - UFRJ. also celebrates 50 years of UN Environment Programme.

New paper!

Summer hot extremes and antecedent drought conditions in Australia

by Patrícia Páscoa, Célia M. Gouveia, Ana Russo & Andreia F. S. Ribeiro

IDLCC - Climate Change Group IPMA ETH Zürich

https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7544

The compound occurrence of extreme weather and/or climate events can cause stronger negative impacts than the individual events, and its frequency is increasing in several regions of the world. In this work, the effect of antecedent drought conditions on hot extremes during the months of December–February in Australia was analysed for two periods (1979–2019 and 1950–2019). The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and the indices number of hot days (NHD) and number of hot nights (NHN) were used to assess drought and extreme temperature events. While the link between dry and heat events is more important in the north in February, in December and January it is strong in the east coast. When temporal lags of 1–3 months are considered, there is a strong correlation between SPEI and NHD/NHN for the concurrent month on most of the study area. For the previous 1–3 months, the area and the correlation values decreased, but consistent spatial patterns were obtained for each month, namely negative correlations on the southwest and southeast in December, and the east in February. Tropical areas showed large areas of correlation between SPEI and NHN, including for the previous 3 months, whereas temperate climates showed the smaller area of correlation with NHN, including at the concurrent month. Significant correlations obtained for lead times longer than 1 month, namely with night heat extremes, point to a predictive ability in several regions of Australia. Moreover, the correlation coefficients obtained using the more recent period (1979–2019) show similar spatial patterns, but with higher values than for the 1950–2019 period. The results highlight the prospect of an early prediction of hot summer extremes in regions affected by drought in spring.

Two days left to submit an abstract to ! These are the sessions where our group is (very well) represented 👇

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🌍 CL4.2 - Climate change in the Mediterranean region: understanding the processes, assessing the impacts, designing adaptation and mitigation strategies
with Andreia Ribeiro as co-convener, and Alexandre Ramos as invited speaker.
https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU22/session/42616

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🔥 BG1.2 - Fire in the Earth system: interactions with land, atmosphere and society
with Renata Libonati as co-convener.
https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU22/session/42291

Fresh out of the oven 🔥

Paper on "Assessing the role of compound drought and heatwave events on unprecedented 2020 wildfires in the Pantanal" by Renata Libonati et al.

A collaboration between
LASA - Laboratório de Aplicações de Satélites Ambientais - UFRJ, IDL - Instituto Dom Luiz, Cemaden Mcti and UFMS - Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul.

👉 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac462e

🇬🇧 It's not always about climate here at IDLCC. Our researchers Ana Russo and Ricardo Trigo co-authored a multidisciplinary study on "The Dynamics of Patient Visits to a Public Hospital Pediatric Emergency Department: A Time-Series Model".

🇵🇹 Nem tudo é clima aqui no nosso grupo. Ana Russo e Ricardo Trigo são co-autores num estudo multidisciplinar acerca das visitas de pacientes às urgência pediátricas.

Know more/Saiba mais 👇

The Dynamics of Patient Visits to a Public Hospital... : Pediatric Emergency Care ld a robust forecasting model. Methods An 8-year administrative data set (2010–2017) of the daily number of admissions to the PED of a public hospital in Lisbon, Portugal, was used (n = 670,379). A time-series model of the daily number of visits was built, including temporal periodicities, the Por...

We'll be there and very well represented in the Climate Change afternoon talks and the poster session as well 🌍

If you want to know more about the excellent research conducted at IDL - Instituto Dom Luiz this is a fantastic opportunity.

See you there!

Ciências Research Day | Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa Participation is free but prior registration is suggested.

Carlos da Camara participa no Antena 2 Ciência para discutir os prémios Nobel da Física de 2021. Começa no minuto 9:15 👇

Carlos da Camara talks about the Nobel Prizes in Physics in Antena 2 Ciência. Starts at minute 9:15 and it's in portuguese 👇

Antena 2 Ciência Episódio 33 - de 18 Out 2021 - RTP Play - RTP Prémios Nobel 2021 da Química e da Física - Os trabalhos e os dias dos cientistas e o que muda nas nossas vidas