Thinking On Paper
Deep tech for the deeply curious.
⬇️ Full episodes, not clips. Technology moves fast, this channel will help you.
Very good, important conversations on artificial intelligence, quantum computing, web3, humanoids, robotics and space manufacturing. Weekly Interviews with CEOS, founders, outliers, scientists, entrepreneurs, authors and whistleblowers. From startups and Silicon Valley wunderkinds to the biggest Tech Fortune 500 companies on the planet. Former guests include IBM, D-Wave, Coinbase, Kevin Kelly, Don Norman, Circle, Carissa Veliz, European Space Agency, NASA and more. Topics range from AI ethics, education, government, music, film, science, space industry and the philosophical impact of technology. In the tech book club there are book reviews and summaries of the most important technology books of the century. Books include: Yuval Noah Harari, Nexus; Federico Faggin, Irreducible; Quantum Supremacy, Clear Thinking, The Order of Time and more. Stay disruptive, be curious, keep thinking on paper.
How does space policy transcend election cycles?
One important factor is that space has been bipartisan for a very long time, and I think it's important to preserve that. Political cycles are driven by partisanship, so maintaining consistency over time is a responsibility for each generation. We have to avoid turning space into another partisan issue.
The second piece is national security.
That's complicated because leaning into national security isn't a free lunch. There are legitimate reasons to be uncomfortable with using national security to build enthusiasm for space.
But national security is also one of the fundamental responsibilities of a state.
Framing space as a long-term national security priority can extend the political horizon and create a reason to maintain investment beyond a single administration or election cycle.
We rely on space more than we realize. GPS is the most tangible way we interface with it daily, from calling an Uber to managing financial transactions and energy grids. Losing GPS would impact almost everything, even from our living rooms.
From SpaceX to the forest
03/10/2026
“This isn't a company where I'm going to sit here and say we could make a billion dollars, or even we could make a trillion dollars. You have to actually kind of think of a company in asteroid mining as what happens if we actually just invalidate the US dollar?”
Mining asteroids could, if it becomes commercially viable at scale, completely upend some commodity markets. And I’m here for it.
Take platinum. Today, the world mines about 170 tonnes of platinum a year. At platinum's average 2025 price of $1,275 an ounce, that annual production is worth roughly $7 billion.
Total global demand was about 8.3 million ounces, worth roughly $10.6 billion, making platinum a surprisingly small market, all things considered.
Platinum is valuable partly because supply is so constrained. As Matthew Gialich, CEO of AstroForge put it on Thinking On Paper, “There’s always a limited supply of what I’ll call ore-bearing grades of any material. And when we call it platinum, there’s a definite limited supply of it.”
The global platinum market ran a deficit of more than 1 million ounces in 2025.
Now imagine Astroforge succeeds in bringing large quantities of platinum-group metals back to Earth. They wouldn't simply be adding another supplier to a $10 billion market, they'd undermine the scarcity that gives platinum its value.
If the supply from space eventually became large relative to terrestrial demand, platinum prices could fall dramatically, threatening the economics of existing mines, recycling operations and exploration projects.
The potential of asteroid mining to upend the status quo is serious business. It could change the economics of the industry.
We spoke to Matthew about all of this and more.
And yes, there is swearing.
Matt Gialich: The Race to Mine Platinum From Asteroids AstroForge's Matt Gialich on platinum-group metals, deep-space missions, and how hard the engineering gets once the money is raised.
Our largest customer in home building is D.R. Horton.
Originally, we designed a material with a higher strength-to-weight ratio than steel. As engineers, Wad and I thought, “How cool is this? We made steel out of grass.”
When we showed it to D.R. Horton, they laughed. They said, “That’s cool, but we would never buy it.”
We asked why. It was stronger than steel.
That forced us to understand how the industry actually works and what customers value. We realized we were solving for the wrong requirements.
So we redefined the problem and applied that lens to the material.
Sam Altman was kicked out of OpenAI in November 2023.
The board removed him because it said he had not been consistently candid in his communications with them. They essentially lost confidence in him as CEO.
And then the employees rallied around him.
Nearly the entire company threatened to resign unless Altman was reinstated. Within days, the board backed down, Altman returned as CEO, and OpenAI announced a new board.
And here we are now, stuck with him.
Teleoperating humanoids on the Moon from Earth?
Space investment is now dominated by defense.
But that isn’t necessarily a bad thing. Governments are directing significant defense budgets toward building capabilities in the space environment, driven by national security requirements.
What those defense dollars are doing is creating a large, reliable source of demand for these companies.
That can accelerate their technology roadmaps and allow them to deploy systems faster than they might have through commercial investment alone.
It’s also helping companies scale their satellite constellations more quickly, bringing them closer to the point where they can generate large, persistent, real-time data sets.
So defense spending isn’t just funding individual technologies. It can accelerate the development and deployment of an entire space infrastructure that may ultimately have both military and commercial applications.
Quantum requires very little power compared with AI.
A good rule of thumb is that a state-of-the-art quantum computer uses about the same amount of power as one rack of AI hardware, and actually a little less today.
That will still be roughly true for large-scale quantum computers in 2029.
Why did it take AI companies this long to introduce parental controls?
We discuss Mustafa Suleyman’s warnings about seemingly conscious AI, the rise of AI companions, and what happens when chatbots start forming emotional relationships with children. Character.AI and other platforms have already raised serious questions about how AI should interact with kids.
If companies can see these risks coming, why are parental controls being added after the fact?
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