Vanguard403 Analytics

Vanguard403 Analytics

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Welcome to my page dedicated to the statistical analysis of the game of rugby. I hope to create a f

06/26/2025

Start your Stampede off right!

Catch us at the 🎸🤘

Photos from Vanguard403 Analytics's post 02/26/2025

Japan trip summed up in 4 words:

Mo money Mo chi 🍡

Photos from Vanguard403 Analytics's post 02/23/2025

Got to spend the week with the amazing staff at . They welcomed me with open arms and treated me as one of their own. Looking forward to seeing this team grow over the coming seasons

03/07/2024

It’s not every day you get a Thursday off work where you can go to a local magazine shop to buy the latest issue of - especially when you’ve been invited to contribute to an article discussing the future of rugby.

It’s not exactly my own magazine cover but I’ll take it!

Photos from Vanguard403 Analytics's post 03/07/2023

Grateful to be a part of the debut for

You’ve come a long way from a 17 year old kid that didn’t even start for your high school team - and now you’re representing your country on the international stage. So proud of the work you’ve done and looking forward to seeing more!

Photos from Vanguard403 Analytics's post 11/19/2022

The first time I met these two in person was in 2013 when they were in Philadelphia with the New Zealand Maori All Blacks. They are largely responsible for jump starting my rugby analytics journey.

Now, 9 years later we are reunited in London. Both are current leaders in their respective elite environments yet still find time to meet up for a coffee. So grateful that they took a chance to help out a random nerd from Canada.

Fun fact: The first time I was introduced to Jamie was in 2001 when the Dinos men’s team toured England and visited the Leicester Tigers

Photos from Vanguard403 Analytics's post 11/16/2022

Barbarians team run at the Stoop in the books!

Photos from Vanguard403 Analytics's post 11/13/2022

Captured a few memories that I probably won’t remember at the Wales versus Argentina game. Huge thanks to corporate box 70 for their hospitality!

04/14/2021

On The Breakdown this week, the impact of goal line restarts (GLR) is discussed. The Crusaders lead the competition by receiving 6 GLRs. If they were awarded 5m scrums they would be expected to score 15.1 pts. Instead, by receiving GLRs they have scored a net of -2 pts.

Overall GLRs have reduced scoring:

GLR (SR AU) = 1.10 EP
GLR (SR Aotearoa) = 1.44 EP
5m attacking scrum (SR) = 2.52 EP

As spectators, has there been a noticeable difference in ball in play? Should Super Rugby keep this law variation?

03/30/2021

The band is getting back together! 🤘

Excited to be working with Tabai Matson on his recurring segment on The Breakdown discussing advanced analytics in Super Rugby Aotearoa.

Link to full episode:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qgVqdEh3OUw&t=699s

03/24/2021

How improbable was France's win over Wales in yesterday's Six Nations (R5) fixture?

Game clock was at 67:26
France was losing by 10
Paul Willemse just got a red card

At this moment, France had a 9.4% chance of winning the game

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