IvyLine Capital Group

Europe has always depended on Russia to supply a large portion of its natural gas. But as winter draws near, gas supplies are dwindling. What’s the EU to do?

See our latest article on the current energy environment and what could be on the horizon.

https://www.ivylinecapital.com/post/gas-shortage

New Monday Market Update just released...

An important week for economic data...
GDP, Core PCE, Consumer Confidence, Manufacturing/ Services PMI as set to be released. This should give insights to how the Fed may react to the adjustments of their policies.

Goldman Sachs adjusts its segments and restructures - consolidates its business operations during this low financial economic period.

Click the link for a further read and other economic insights: https://www.ivylinecapital.com/market-insights-risks

UK Chancellor is sacked just after 38 days on the job; CPI & PPI further disappoints investors, indicating that the Fed has further tightening measures to take when it comes to credit conditions.

For a further read, check out our Monday Market Wrap Up commentary...
https://www.ivylinecapital.com/_files/ugd/c29953_e7caaee6f2314f98816ad3433ebaed72.pdf

Today marks the first time in years that the 3 month Treasury Bill just inverted against the 10 year Note. No one knows the outcome but history tells us that there could be further trouble ahead for markets.

*Inverted indicates that the short term rate is higher than the long term rate

Source:
https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2022

The Bank of England seems like they are in a state of disarray. They are trying to rein in liquidity risks, by giving ultimatums to pensions funds to unwind their leveraged positions.

This does not seem positive for market stability and liquidity measures.

BOE’s Bailey Has a Message for Funds: ‘You've Got Three Days’ to Wind Up Positions (Bloomberg) -- Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey urged investors to finish winding up positions that they can’t maintain, saying the central bank will halt intervention in the market as planned at the end of this week.Most Read from BloombergHere’s How Weird Things Are Getting in the Housin...

Is Credit Suisse the next Lehman Brothers? See our commentary on last week's market news and upcoming economic data set to be released this week.
https://www.ivylinecapital.com/market-insights-risks

Bank of England U-Turn's their entire Monetary Policy plan by halting upcoming sales of UK Bonds and reverses their entire course by reactivating the purchases of bond assets. Their hopes are to support the Great British Pound from plunging against the US Dollar which could be linked to the recent announced tax cut policies by the British Parliament (recently scrapped).

European investors fear this could create a liquidity contagion of asset class selling across the board.

Read our Monday Market Update for more information...
https://www.ivylinecapital.com/market-insights-risks

Monday Market Update: Sept 19 - 30
- The FOMC raises the Fed Funds Rate by 75 basis points or bps
- The Inverted Yield Curve continues to widen
- Global central banks response to rising inflation

See our latest weekly commentary on recent economic events in addition to upcoming.

"The Fed vs Inflation Part 2 of 3 - The Balance Sheet & the Possible Largest Risk to the Financial Markets" - See commentary: https://www.ivylinecapital.com/post/the-fed-versus-inflation-part-2-of-3

Markets remain in a volatile state much is linked back to the decisions by the Fed yet with all the turmoil we yet believe there is an outlier risk that we should be aware of. See Part 2 of 3, The Fed vs Inflation for our further discussion and analysis on markets and these risks.

The Fed vs Inflation Part 2 of 3 The Balance Sheet and what we think is the possible largest risk is to the financial markets

Part 2 of 3 in the Fed vs Inflation coming soon...

Due to the market volatility, we have started a quick market brief titled, "Monday Market Update" to coincide to the past and upcoming Macroeconomic events. In addition, we will be listing out various terms to be familiar with. The Finance space can filled with important and sometimes non-sensical jargon. This brief will be in addition to the main articles that are released, which are highly focused on a particular topic.

Feel free to follow the page to keep up with announcements on the weekly release of the "Monday Market Update". You can also find this on the main site.
https://www.ivylinecapital.com/market-insights-risks

A special note from our founder. More insights to come when it comes to understanding the current market conditions. Part 2 coming soon. Follow the page to be notified when this is being released.

The Fed Versus Inflation...Part 1 of 3 The Fed versus Inflation discusses the ramifications of post pandemic issues and the consequences and risks to easy Monetary Policies.